– and yes the voting system needs much reform Draculina – are you aware of the Electoral Reform Society?
I’m aware of them, but I don’t agree with any of their ideas. STV is my favorite voting method, but they want to replace local MPs with a regional blocks of representatives. I can’t see what the purpose of doing this would be. I think it would instead be better to apply this concept in a replacement for the house of lords.
Edit:
Using STV to elect MPs would be nice, but I don’t see any reason to change how MP seats are allocated.
The hard-core UKIP voter – how many of them now? UKIP must be hoping to pick up Labour voters who can stick Corbyn, but the Copeland result showed that they’re as likely to go to the Tories. The UKIP threat to the Tories whihc triggered the referendum has all but gone; I don’t see a UKIP threat to Tory seats. The result will tell, but I don’t see other UKIP policies as attracting many people.
In the 2015 election UKIP recieved 10,801 more votes than the combined total of the SNP and Lib Dems.
(UKIP had 3,881,099 votes, Lib Dems had 2,415,862 and SNP had got 1,454,436)
She needs Labour’s support for the election to happen, but I can’t imagine that not being given. They should refuse – I can think of good arguments not to let it through – but turkeys voting for Christmas? Labour is in a mess, but they still have a lot of safe seats. Hard to see them not losing quite a few seats.
The oposition refusing a general election would be an open admission that their party is a failure and has no chance of winning. This is of course true, but neither Corbyn or his party can take this stance if they want the Labour party to continue to exist.
UKIP is also in a mess. It doesn’t know where it’s going. If you want a hard Brexit, you vote Tory if you’ve got half a brain.
UKIP’s core voter base doesn’t trust May at all, the phase they use is ‘closet remainer’ I believe. They won’t vote for her party. They also have other flagship policies that seperate them from the Tories, removing tution fees for STEM courses at university, and voter reform are two of the main ones. Farage has gone as far as saying the house of lords should be replaced with a senate, but I don’t think this will be part of their campaign manifesto for this election.
LibDems may do well – this election is a godsend for them.
The Lib Dems will gain some support from hard line remainers, but their pushing for a second referendum as alienated at lost of people who feel they are not respecting democracy. I’m not sure if they will gain or lose votes overall.